The CavChron Line

Florida (29 Electoral Votes)

Florida (29 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

We’ve saved the best for last. The ultimate decider of the 2000 election, the Sunshine State is the most valuable swing state in the sense of electoral votes. Many recall - or at least know about - the disputed Florida vote count in 2000 that gave George W. Bush the election. Bush and Al Gore near...

Pennsylvania (20 Electoral Votes)

Pennsylvania (20 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

The fact that Pennsylvania is a swing state is an odd one, since no Republican has carried it since 1988. However, the number of Republican and Democratic voters is close. In the state’s primary, Democrats only received 76,609 more votes than Republicans. General election votes aren’t exactly clos...

Ohio (18 Electoral Votes)

Ohio (18 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

The Buckeye State is home to an odd pattern: since 1964, no presidential candidate has won the general election without carrying Ohio. This means whoever carries Ohio will likely win the entire election. But the state could really go either way. Ohio was one of the few states Trump actually lost, los...

Michican (16 Electoral Votes)

Michican (16 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

Michigan is similar to Arizona in the sense that it isn’t really considered a swing state. The last time it voted Republican was 1988, when George H.W. Bush defeated Michael Dukakis in a landslide victory. What’s making the blue state possibly turn red? Michigan actually was considered a potential...

North Carolina (15 Electoral Votes)

North Carolina (15 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

Like Virginia, North Carolina does not generally vote Democratic. In 2012, it was the only swing state of that election that Mitt Romney won. Right now, polls are constantly going back and forth between Trump and Clinton, and it’s hard to tell who will carry the Tar Heel State. Both won their primari...

Virginia (13 Electoral Votes)

Virginia (13 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

Virginia wasn’t really considered a swing state until 2008, when Obama carried it then, and again in 2012. Before that, the last time Virginia voted Democratic was 1964. While being a swing state, it doesn’t go back and forth all that often. Polls generally support Clinton in the state, but some show a ti...

Arizona (11 Electoral Votes)

Arizona (11 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

Arizona is generally not a swing state. A Democrat has only once carried since 1948, and has produced two Republican presidential nominees since 1964 (Barry Goldwater and John McCain). So why might it swing Democratic now? The answer turns out to be that Trump, as many are aware, is not the avera...

Wisconsin (10 Electoral Votes)

Wisconsin (10 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

As useful as the information can be, using primary and caucus results as a reference for how states will lean in the general election is difficult and unreliable for a couple of reasons: Primary turnout is pretty low, with combined primaries of both Democratic and the GOP being 28.5% of all eligibl...

Colorado (9 Electoral Votes)

Colorado (9 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

It’s hard to compare numbers from the primary season in Colorado because Republicans didn’t really have a vote in the state. The GOP held precinct caucuses, but they did not affect delegate allocation. The results of the precinct caucuses aren’t readily available, so it’s hard to compare them ...

Nevada (6 Electoral Votes)

Nevada (6 Electoral Votes)

Curtis Newton, Managing Editor

October 26, 2016

Like Iowa, three out of four US Representatives from Nevada are Republican. The Senate, however, tells a different story. Nevada is home to the current Senate Minority Leader, Harry Reid. Reid has served in the Senate since 1987 and endorsed Clinton back in February. With that, Clinton may have an advantage...

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